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Red270
1403132.5
3974130.9
2600129.3
Blue379
747159.1
5992124.1
321142.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3323040100200400500600700270379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1403
#58
132.50.1
133.6133.7
Auto20.2
Teleop103.4
End9.7
blue by 26.6
747
#18
159.11.6
157.7156.2
Auto20.0
Teleop120.1
End22.5
Second
3974
#48
130.90.9
136.5135.6
Auto18.5
Teleop99.8
End12.2
blue by 11.5
321
#35
142.40.8
134.5135.3
Auto17.1
Teleop103.2
End24.2
Third
2600
#55
129.30.1
127.7127.6
Auto17.4
Teleop97.2
End15.0
red by 5.2
5992
#50
124.10.6
123.3122.7
Auto16.5
Teleop89.7
End18.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
66%Auto Quest oddsEarned66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed