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Red312
3142137.5
433158.3
1807151.1
Blue362
365196.9
293141.7
1143129.1
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304373200400500600312362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
433
#47
158.30.5
157.2157.7
Auto20.3
Teleop114.9
End20.9
blue by 38.6
365
#6
196.91.4
189.8191.2
Auto24.6
Teleop147.8
End23.7
Second
1807
#42
151.10.9
151.5150.6
Auto18.6
Teleop114.4
End15.7
red by 9.3
293
#56
141.70.8
144.9144.2
Auto17.1
Teleop110.9
End13.9
Third
3142
#12
137.50.5
139.2138.7
Auto15.9
Teleop103.4
End21.3
red by 8.4
1143
#41
129.10.1
128.4128.5
Auto18.5
Teleop97.5
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsMissed74%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed