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Red280
321142.4
203142.7
316187.7
Blue457
5407166.5
1640191.4
41139.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions337345100200300400500600280457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#30
187.71.8
184.2186.0
Auto18.0
Teleop146.9
End24.0
blue by 3.7
1640
#20
191.40.5
189.3188.9
Auto20.9
Teleop146.3
End23.3
Second
203
#57
142.70.9
144.9144.1
Auto15.3
Teleop112.8
End12.7
blue by 23.7
5407
#29
166.50.7
166.1165.4
Auto16.9
Teleop118.2
End30.9
Third
321
#35
142.41.4
135.3136.7
Auto17.1
Teleop103.2
End24.2
red by 2.7
41
#25
139.70.2
135.2135.0
Auto18.4
Teleop104.4
End20.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsMissed74%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsEarned20%Face the Boss oddsEarned