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Red496
834181.9
5992124.1
2607163.4
Blue255
2495126.4
1168113.0
1089154.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3862580100200300500600496255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#49
181.90.0
180.3180.3
Auto20.6
Teleop136.8
End25.6
red by 28.0
1089
#45
154.00.9
149.9150.9
Auto20.0
Teleop117.9
End18.0
Second
2607
#28
163.40.8
164.2163.4
Auto17.1
Teleop120.0
End28.4
red by 37.0
2495
#37
126.40.2
126.6126.5
Auto15.7
Teleop94.8
End18.6
Third
5992
#50
124.10.2
122.9122.7
Auto16.5
Teleop89.7
End18.4
red by 11.1
1168
#53
113.00.4
114.4114.0
Auto17.2
Teleop83.5
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsEarned74%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
15%Face the Boss oddsEarned2%Face the Boss oddsMissed