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Red348
1676161.6
6945120.8
75153.8
Blue291
3637165.8
4361155.1
2729142.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294369100200400500600700348291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1676
#14
161.61.5
153.1154.6
Auto19.3
Teleop118.3
End23.7
blue by 4.2
3637
#31
165.80.7
164.0164.6
Auto18.8
Teleop126.3
End22.3
Second
75
#19
153.80.7
148.6149.3
Auto21.9
Teleop113.7
End18.5
blue by 1.3
4361
#16
155.10.6
153.3154.0
Auto19.5
Teleop119.7
End16.2
Third
6945
#32
120.80.9
116.1116.9
Auto14.1
Teleop93.9
End15.6
blue by 21.6
2729
#11
142.40.9
146.2145.3
Auto25.0
Teleop100.5
End17.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed