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Red344
3929153.4
103154.7
3314180.9
Blue347
1712170.5
25211.2
2180140.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301369100200400500600344347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180.90.9
178.1177.2
Auto23.9
Teleop125.4
End32.1
blue by 30.2
25
#2
211.21.4
203.0204.5
Auto24.8
Teleop166.3
End19.8
Second
103
#39
154.70.6
153.3152.7
Auto17.6
Teleop127.0
End10.5
blue by 15.8
170.50.9
167.9168.8
Auto21.4
Teleop131.6
End14.6
Third
3929
#23
153.40.3
151.3151.6
Auto18.3
Teleop120.2
End17.3
red by 13.0
2180
#22
140.40.5
142.7142.3
Auto18.4
Teleop108.1
End14.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsMissed90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
31%Face the Boss oddsEarned14%Face the Boss oddsMissed