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Red361
56200.2
102137.9
1712170.5
Blue329
1391171.8
1676161.6
1923185.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364367250300350400450361329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
#3
200.20.2
197.8198.0
Auto26.2
Teleop141.9
End33.8
red by 15.1
1923
#15
185.10.3
186.2185.9
Auto23.9
Teleop143.7
End17.9
Second
170.50.7
168.8169.4
Auto21.4
Teleop131.6
End14.6
blue by 1.3
171.81.0
166.0166.9
Auto21.6
Teleop122.7
End28.7
Third
102
#36
137.92.1
133.4135.5
Auto18.0
Teleop104.8
End17.1
blue by 23.7
1676
#14
161.61.9
154.6156.5
Auto19.3
Teleop118.3
End23.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned98%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
21%Face the Boss oddsMissed24%Face the Boss oddsMissed