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Red346
272156.7
222177.8
1089154.0
Blue365
316187.7
3974130.9
2607163.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327371100200300400500600346365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#38
177.81.6
181.5179.9
Auto23.8
Teleop132.0
End22.6
blue by 9.9
316
#30
187.70.2
188.0188.3
Auto18.0
Teleop146.9
End24.0
Second
272
#40
156.70.2
155.3155.5
Auto20.7
Teleop103.9
End29.6
blue by 6.7
2607
#28
163.40.4
163.7163.3
Auto17.1
Teleop120.0
End28.4
Third
1089
#45
154.00.1
151.8151.9
Auto20.0
Teleop117.9
End18.0
red by 23.1
3974
#48
130.90.7
132.4131.7
Auto18.5
Teleop99.8
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsEarned62%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
23%Face the Boss oddsEarned15%Face the Boss oddsEarned