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Red235
11128.1
102137.9
2600129.3
Blue439
3637165.8
1712170.5
223165.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2514280100200300500600700235439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
102
#36
137.91.4
135.5137.0
Auto18.0
Teleop104.8
End17.1
blue by 32.6
170.50.2
169.4169.6
Auto21.4
Teleop131.6
End14.6
Second
2600
#55
129.30.6
128.2128.8
Auto17.4
Teleop97.2
End15.0
blue by 36.5
3637
#31
165.80.0
164.9164.9
Auto18.8
Teleop126.3
End22.3
Third
11
#51
128.10.5
128.4127.9
Auto16.8
Teleop98.7
End15.8
blue by 37.3
223
#52
165.30.2
165.7165.5
Auto18.3
Teleop119.5
End26.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsMissed81%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed