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Red207
219144.4
5404161.1
4653164.6
Blue503
2016149.3
1391171.8
56200.2
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330402100200300500600700207503

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4653
#44
164.60.3
166.4166.7
Auto19.5
Teleop124.4
End19.3
blue by 35.6
56
#3
200.20.1
198.0197.8
Auto26.2
Teleop141.9
End33.8
Second
161.10.3
164.1163.8
Auto20.8
Teleop114.0
End24.0
blue by 10.6
171.80.3
166.9167.3
Auto21.6
Teleop122.7
End28.7
Third
219
#27
144.41.1
143.1144.2
Auto22.5
Teleop107.6
End13.7
blue by 4.9
2016
#34
149.31.3
152.9151.6
Auto22.9
Teleop110.9
End13.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned98%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
27%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsEarned