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Red441
225222.1
2590244.6
2016149.3
Blue288
1218181.8
1391171.8
747159.1
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions469301100200400500600700441288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
244.60.2
244.1244.3
Auto23.6
Teleop173.6
End45.5
red by 62.8
1218
#13
181.80.0
181.8181.8
Auto20.9
Teleop133.7
End27.5
Second
225
#9
222.10.3
223.4223.1
Auto25.9
Teleop168.4
End25.9
red by 50.3
171.80.4
171.4171.8
Auto21.6
Teleop122.7
End28.7
Third
2016
#34
149.30.2
150.2150.1
Auto22.9
Teleop110.9
End13.9
blue by 9.8
747
#18
159.10.4
158.7159.1
Auto20.0
Teleop120.1
End22.5