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Red434
1218181.8
1391171.8
747159.1
Blue372
4342175.6
5404161.1
5407166.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403349100200300500600700434372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#13
181.80.1
181.9181.8
Auto20.9
Teleop133.7
End27.5
red by 6.2
4342
#24
175.60.1
175.8175.7
Auto26.7
Teleop119.5
End30.4
Second
171.80.4
170.1170.5
Auto21.6
Teleop122.7
End28.7
red by 5.3
5407
#29
166.50.1
166.7166.6
Auto16.9
Teleop118.2
End30.9
Third
747
#18
159.10.4
157.4157.8
Auto20.0
Teleop120.1
End22.5
blue by 2.0
161.10.3
161.6161.3
Auto20.8
Teleop114.0
End24.0