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Red452
1640191.4
25211.2
1089154.0
Blue300
3314180.9
1712170.5
1676161.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394339100200300500600700452300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#2
211.20.3
209.8210.1
Auto24.8
Teleop166.3
End19.8
red by 30.2
180.90.5
180.0180.5
Auto23.9
Teleop125.4
End32.1
Second
1640
#20
191.40.0
191.2191.3
Auto20.9
Teleop146.3
End23.3
red by 20.9
170.50.2
170.2170.4
Auto21.4
Teleop131.6
End14.6
Third
1089
#45
154.00.2
153.3153.4
Auto20.0
Teleop117.9
End18.0
blue by 7.6
1676
#14
161.60.4
160.8161.3
Auto19.3
Teleop118.3
End23.7