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Qual 12018 MadTown Throwdown
Red256
254B147.0
2073149.0
3495136.5
Blue366
7663126.2
1072B110.8
1671155.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37823706008001,0001,200256366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2073
#20
149.00.2
144.0→144.2
Auto21.6
Teleop109.7
End21.5
blue by 6.4
1671
#9
155.41.1
153.6→152.5
Auto24.3
Teleop113.9
End15.1
Second
254B
#33
147.013.8
147.0→133.2
Auto17.7
Teleop116.6
End9.3
red by 20.8
7663
#31
126.248.5
126.2→77.7
Auto18.6
Teleop97.9
End7.8
Third
3495
#21
136.50.0
143.7→143.8
Auto18.0
Teleop101.5
End14.3
red by 25.7
1072B
#16
110.824.6
110.8→86.2
Auto17.6
Teleop92.0
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsMissed68%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
25%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed