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Red180
5940136.9
6657118.5
973C119.5
Blue342
3482B88.3
1323B153.2
973195.9
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22636606008001,0001,2001,400180342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5940
#25
136.91.5
131.3129.9
Auto16.3
Teleop109.8
End9.4
blue by 59.0
973
#5
195.90.7
188.9189.6
Auto25.1
Teleop139.4
End30.8
Second
973C
#18
119.512.9
119.5106.6
Auto14.9
Teleop90.4
End17.4
blue by 33.7
153.229.8
153.2123.4
Auto18.9
Teleop121.8
End11.0
Third
6657
#12
118.50.5
119.3119.8
Auto17.4
Teleop90.7
End11.6
red by 30.2
88.36.6
88.381.8
Auto11.2
Teleop76.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsEarned80%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed49%Face the Boss oddsMissed