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Red432
971B163.2
254250.3
5817166.2
Blue284
5852B100.7
254C131.2
1323237.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40524406008001,0001,200432284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
250.31.0
241.0242.0
Auto27.5
Teleop182.5
End39.2
red by 13.2
237.10.9
222.0222.9
Auto25.8
Teleop178.9
End33.2
Second
5817
#29
166.22.6
161.7164.3
Auto17.4
Teleop123.6
End22.4
red by 35.0
254C
#41
131.22.0
131.2133.2
Auto16.6
Teleop99.3
End15.7
Third
163.252.8
163.2110.4
Auto22.6
Teleop119.2
End22.5
red by 62.5
100.734.9
100.765.8
Auto11.0
Teleop77.9
End16.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned66%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
96%Face the Boss oddsEarned65%Face the Boss oddsEarned