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Qual 42018 MadTown Throwdown
Red325
5104146.5
971C126.1
973B141.1
Blue166
1678C140.6
3482138.4
6926B94.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32626702004006008001,0001,2001,400325166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5104
#13
146.50.5
143.3→143.8
Auto18.3
Teleop110.3
End20.9
red by 5.9
1678C
#37
140.66.2
140.6→134.4
Auto16.3
Teleop109.5
End13.1
Second
973B
#32
141.134.2
141.1→106.9
Auto18.6
Teleop106.4
End16.5
red by 2.7
3482
#14
138.40.5
138.5→139.0
Auto20.0
Teleop107.1
End10.9
Third
971C
#34
126.115.6
126.1→110.4
Auto13.4
Teleop103.3
End6.1
red by 32.1
6926B
#42
94.03.0
87.9→90.9
Auto15.0
Teleop73.0
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsMissed52%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
29%Face the Boss oddsMissed27%Face the Boss oddsMissed