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Qual 52018 MadTown Throwdown
Red420
7057110.7
1678B160.7
971198.9
Blue132
4171117.2
4255107.6
5852106.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42116006008001,000420132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#4
198.90.0
197.6→197.6
Auto23.6
Teleop149.2
End24.6
red by 81.7
4171
#27
117.20.9
114.5→113.5
Auto16.6
Teleop87.1
End13.4
Second
1678B
#19
160.726.3
160.7→134.4
Auto18.1
Teleop123.9
End16.8
red by 53.0
4255
#26
107.61.6
108.9→107.2
Auto16.1
Teleop84.8
End9.7
Third
7057
#10
110.70.6
108.6→108.0
Auto17.6
Teleop82.1
End14.1
red by 4.1
5852
#36
106.70.7
105.8→106.5
Auto12.8
Teleop84.2
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsEarned6%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
65%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed