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Red371
5852B100.7
254250.3
6926116.2
Blue276
6657B97.6
1678237.7
5817B116.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314311200250350400450371276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
250.31.3
242.0243.3
Auto27.5
Teleop182.5
End39.2
red by 12.6
237.70.3
246.1245.7
Auto24.8
Teleop176.1
End34.7
Second
6926
#28
116.20.1
116.3116.2
Auto18.1
Teleop94.8
End4.5
blue by 0.2
116.48.8
96.2105.0
Auto18.1
Teleop84.2
End12.0
Third
100.710.3
65.876.2
Auto11.0
Teleop77.9
End16.8
red by 3.1
97.68.1
72.280.3
Auto14.1
Teleop77.7
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsEarned69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
62%Face the Boss oddsMissed83%Face the Boss oddsEarned