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Red271
1678C140.6
4698148.4
6305110.8
Blue409
5104146.5
1323237.1
5852106.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2463810200600800271409

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148.40.3
140.5140.8
Auto17.2
Teleop114.8
End19.6
blue by 88.8
237.11.4
222.9224.3
Auto25.8
Teleop178.9
End33.2
Second
140.66.2
134.4140.6
Auto16.3
Teleop109.5
End13.1
blue by 5.9
5104
#13
146.50.6
143.8144.4
Auto18.3
Teleop110.3
End20.9
Third
6305
#24
110.81.4
110.5111.9
Auto18.9
Teleop87.7
End5.9
red by 4.1
5852
#36
106.70.5
106.5107.0
Auto12.8
Teleop84.2
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
27%Face the Boss oddsMissed18%Face the Boss oddsEarned