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Red359
3495136.5
1678B160.7
1671155.4
Blue256
973B141.1
3495B111.3
2135140.4
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4022340100300500600700800359256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.78.4
134.4142.8
Auto18.1
Teleop123.9
End16.8
red by 19.6
973B
#32
141.18.7
106.9115.6
Auto18.6
Teleop106.4
End16.5
Second
155.40.0
152.5152.5
Auto24.3
Teleop113.9
End15.1
red by 15.0
2135
#35
140.40.4
137.9137.5
Auto20.7
Teleop100.9
End16.4
Third
3495
#21
136.50.4
143.8143.4
Auto18.0
Teleop101.5
End14.3
red by 25.2
111.37.5
83.891.3
Auto12.4
Teleop89.7
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned53%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
28%Face the Boss oddsMissed16%Face the Boss oddsMissed