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Qual 302018 MadTown Throwdown
Red213
1323B153.2
973B141.1
4171117.2
Blue329
3495B111.3
6174141.0
2073149.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33027202004006008001,0001,2001,400213329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1323B
#23
153.23.5
148.1→151.6
Auto18.9
Teleop121.8
End11.0
red by 4.2
2073
#20
149.00.2
145.5→145.7
Auto21.6
Teleop109.7
End21.5
Second
973B
#32
141.13.0
125.0→128.0
Auto18.6
Teleop106.4
End16.5
red by 0.1
6174
#6
141.01.3
130.1→131.3
Auto20.5
Teleop109.7
End7.6
Third
4171
#27
117.20.8
112.5→113.3
Auto16.6
Teleop87.1
End13.4
red by 5.9
3495B
#40
111.34.3
101.4→105.7
Auto12.4
Teleop89.7
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed