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Qual 312018 MadTown Throwdown
Red410
971B163.2
1323237.1
6657B97.6
Blue145
6657118.5
1072143.6
1678B160.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3482830100200400500600700410145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1323
#2
237.11.3
226.6→227.9
Auto25.8
Teleop178.9
End33.2
red by 76.5
1678B
#19
160.75.9
154.2→160.1
Auto18.1
Teleop123.9
End16.8
Second
971B
#3
163.25.2
129.9→135.1
Auto22.6
Teleop119.2
End22.5
red by 19.7
1072
#15
143.61.9
149.9→147.9
Auto20.1
Teleop112.7
End10.0
Third
6657B
#39
97.61.4
92.1→93.5
Auto14.1
Teleop77.7
End3.9
blue by 20.9
6657
#12
118.50.3
121.1→120.9
Auto17.4
Teleop90.7
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
35%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed