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Red144
3495B111.3
5104146.5
1678C140.6
Blue311
2135B118.9
6657118.5
254250.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2353830600800144311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5104
#13
146.50.8
146.7147.4
Auto18.3
Teleop110.3
End20.9
blue by 103.8
254
#1
250.30.4
246.0246.4
Auto27.5
Teleop182.5
End39.2
Second
140.61.9
148.9147.0
Auto16.3
Teleop109.5
End13.1
red by 21.7
118.92.9
108.3111.2
Auto20.0
Teleop86.8
End11.6
Third
111.34.6
105.7110.4
Auto12.4
Teleop89.7
End13.7
blue by 7.2
6657
#12
118.50.9
120.9119.9
Auto17.4
Teleop90.7
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
19%Face the Boss oddsMissed50%Face the Boss oddsEarned