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Qual 382018 MadTown Throwdown
Red199
5817B116.4
3303116.5
2073149.0
Blue259
3495136.5
5817166.2
7057110.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2823440200400600800199259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2073
#20
149.00.8
145.7→146.6
Auto21.6
Teleop109.7
End21.5
blue by 17.2
5817
#29
166.20.7
168.6→167.9
Auto17.4
Teleop123.6
End22.4
Second
3303
#38
116.51.1
119.3→118.2
Auto16.8
Teleop93.6
End5.1
blue by 20.0
3495
#21
136.50.6
141.0→140.4
Auto18.0
Teleop101.5
End14.3
Third
5817B
#30
116.40.4
117.7→118.1
Auto18.1
Teleop84.2
End12.0
red by 5.7
7057
#10
110.71.1
109.5→110.5
Auto17.6
Teleop82.1
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsEarned47%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed