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Red373
971198.9
971C126.1
1323237.1
Blue258
2135140.4
254B147.0
3482B88.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4561490100200300400500600700800373258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
237.11.5
227.9229.4
Auto25.8
Teleop178.9
End33.2
red by 90.1
254B
#33
147.00.5
146.8146.3
Auto17.7
Teleop116.6
End9.3
Second
971
#4
198.90.2
200.5200.6
Auto23.6
Teleop149.2
End24.6
red by 58.5
2135
#35
140.40.2
136.5136.3
Auto20.7
Teleop100.9
End16.4
Third
971C
#34
126.10.7
128.9129.6
Auto13.4
Teleop103.3
End6.1
red by 37.7
88.33.7
89.185.4
Auto11.2
Teleop76.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
57%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsMissed