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Qual 402018 MadTown Throwdown
Red135
254C131.2
1678B160.7
1072B110.8
Blue392
4698148.4
973195.9
3482138.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2943360100200400500600135392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1678B
#19
160.71.7
160.1→161.8
Auto18.1
Teleop123.9
End16.8
blue by 35.2
973
#5
195.90.1
191.4→191.5
Auto25.1
Teleop139.4
End30.8
Second
254C
#41
131.23.0
144.6→141.6
Auto16.6
Teleop99.3
End15.7
blue by 17.2
4698
#8
148.40.7
142.5→143.2
Auto17.2
Teleop114.8
End19.6
Third
1072B
#16
110.82.2
110.1→112.3
Auto17.6
Teleop92.0
End4.5
blue by 27.6
3482
#14
138.40.2
138.5→138.3
Auto20.0
Teleop107.1
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsMissed82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
42%Face the Boss oddsMissed15%Face the Boss oddsEarned