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Qual 482018 MadTown Throwdown
Red327
5817166.2
5852106.7
5852B100.7
Blue206
3495B111.3
1323B153.2
254B147.0
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2113480100300400500600700800327206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5817
#29
166.21.4
167.9→166.5
Auto17.4
Teleop123.6
End22.4
red by 13.0
1323B
#23
153.20.3
153.3→153.5
Auto18.9
Teleop121.8
End11.0
Second
5852
#36
106.71.3
107.4→106.1
Auto12.8
Teleop84.2
End11.7
blue by 40.3
254B
#33
147.01.8
146.3→148.1
Auto17.7
Teleop116.6
End9.3
Third
5852B
#17
100.72.6
90.7→93.3
Auto11.0
Teleop77.9
End16.8
blue by 10.6
3495B
#40
111.30.6
110.4→110.9
Auto12.4
Teleop89.7
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
1%Auto Quest oddsMissed45%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsMissed21%Face the Boss oddsMissed