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Red429
254250.3
4171117.2
3482B88.3
Blue192
254C131.2
973B141.1
6305110.8
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3592240100300400500600700429192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
250.30.3
246.4246.7
Auto27.5
Teleop182.5
End39.2
red by 109.3
973B
#32
141.14.8
129.4134.2
Auto18.6
Teleop106.4
End16.5
Second
4171
#27
117.20.9
113.8114.6
Auto16.6
Teleop87.1
End13.4
blue by 14.0
254C
#41
131.24.9
141.6136.8
Auto16.6
Teleop99.3
End15.7
Third
88.30.6
85.484.8
Auto11.2
Teleop76.0
End1.3
blue by 22.5
6305
#24
110.80.7
113.1112.4
Auto18.9
Teleop87.7
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsMissed68%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
40%Face the Boss oddsEarned13%Face the Boss oddsMissed