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Red226
5817B116.4
254B147.0
1678C140.6
Blue376
1678B160.7
1323B153.2
2135140.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2793460100200400500600700226376

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254B
#33
147.00.0
147.8147.9
Auto17.7
Teleop116.6
End9.3
blue by 13.7
160.71.2
158.9160.1
Auto18.1
Teleop123.9
End16.8
Second
140.60.2
141.0140.8
Auto16.3
Teleop109.5
End13.1
blue by 12.6
153.21.0
152.3153.2
Auto18.9
Teleop121.8
End11.0
Third
116.41.6
118.9117.2
Auto18.1
Teleop84.2
End12.0
blue by 24.0
2135
#35
140.40.9
138.0139.0
Auto20.7
Teleop100.9
End16.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsEarned72%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
59%Face the Boss oddsMissed23%Face the Boss oddsMissed