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Red382
1323237.1
6305110.8
973C119.5
Blue125
4255107.6
3495B111.3
7057110.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4141690100300500600700800382125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
237.12.2
232.1234.4
Auto25.8
Teleop178.9
End33.2
red by 125.8
111.31.2
110.1111.3
Auto12.4
Teleop89.7
End13.7
Second
973C
#18
119.50.3
118.5118.8
Auto14.9
Teleop90.4
End17.4
red by 8.8
7057
#10
110.70.0
110.7110.7
Auto17.6
Teleop82.1
End14.1
Third
6305
#24
110.80.7
111.8111.0
Auto18.9
Teleop87.7
End5.9
red by 3.2
4255
#26
107.61.0
105.7106.7
Auto16.1
Teleop84.8
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsEarned20%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
24%Face the Boss oddsEarned1%Face the Boss oddsMissed