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Red396
291193.0
3193115.2
48154.1
Blue151
4467130.8
7165128.4
4780122.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38924306008001,000396151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
291
#3
193.00.4
189.5189.9
Auto22.1
Teleop152.7
End15.7
red by 62.2
4467
#11
130.80.1
132.0131.9
Auto18.5
Teleop98.8
End12.8
Second
48
#1
154.10.7
145.5146.2
Auto23.5
Teleop118.9
End15.2
red by 25.7
128.40.6
131.4130.8
Auto16.5
Teleop97.5
End17.4
Third
3193
#16
115.21.1
120.4119.4
Auto15.7
Teleop89.9
End9.3
blue by 6.8
122.11.8
117.9119.7
Auto18.4
Teleop83.8
End19.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned51%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed