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Qual 102018 Mahoning Valley Robotics Challenge
Red211
1787111.6
4269103.0
4601130.9
Blue249
9986108.9
5811137.3
2010113.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2493250100200400500600700800211249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4601
#14
130.90.0
131.8→131.8
Auto17.1
Teleop94.9
End18.5
blue by 6.4
5811
#5
137.30.3
139.2→139.5
Auto15.0
Teleop105.7
End14.1
Second
1787
#17
111.62.5
123.8→121.3
Auto19.1
Teleop78.6
End9.8
blue by 1.5
2010
#7
113.10.6
114.7→115.2
Auto17.7
Teleop84.8
End9.5
Third
4269
#15
103.00.1
100.4→100.6
Auto12.8
Teleop81.5
End9.7
blue by 5.9
9986
#4
108.94.7
99.7→104.3
Auto14.4
Teleop87.9
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed