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Red394
454798.0
379188.1
4467130.8
Blue130
4121133.7
3193115.2
2656108.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35026705001,0001,500394130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#10
188.10.3
189.5189.2
Auto22.4
Teleop141.2
End21.8
red by 54.5
133.70.6
133.1133.7
Auto16.9
Teleop96.9
End16.6
Second
4467
#11
130.80.8
132.8132.0
Auto18.5
Teleop98.8
End12.8
red by 15.5
3193
#16
115.20.4
120.8120.4
Auto15.7
Teleop89.9
End9.3
Third
4547
#13
98.01.4
105.0103.6
Auto11.5
Teleop74.6
End7.6
blue by 10.0
2656
#18
108.01.0
119.9118.9
Auto16.1
Teleop84.9
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
66%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
19%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed