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Red358
48154.1
4601130.9
2010113.1
Blue210
1787111.6
9986108.9
4027162.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions307312200250350400450358210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#1
154.10.4
145.0145.5
Auto23.5
Teleop118.9
End15.2
blue by 8.0
162.10.8
162.2162.9
Auto25.4
Teleop122.6
End15.3
Second
4601
#14
130.90.4
132.2131.8
Auto17.1
Teleop94.9
End18.5
red by 19.2
1787
#17
111.62.7
126.5123.8
Auto19.1
Teleop78.6
End9.8
Third
113.10.3
114.4114.7
Auto17.7
Teleop84.8
End9.5
red by 4.3
108.99.4
90.299.7
Auto14.4
Teleop87.9
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsEarned76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed