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Red259
4601130.9
4780122.1
9986108.9
Blue218
2656108.0
7165128.4
379188.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22538806008001,000259218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4601
#14
130.90.2
131.5131.7
Auto17.1
Teleop94.9
End18.5
blue by 57.3
379
#10
188.10.4
190.0190.4
Auto22.4
Teleop141.2
End21.8
Second
122.12.0
112.6114.6
Auto18.4
Teleop83.8
End19.5
blue by 6.3
128.40.9
131.1132.0
Auto16.5
Teleop97.5
End17.4
Third
108.917.6
60.177.7
Auto14.4
Teleop87.9
End5.6
red by 0.8
2656
#18
108.00.6
122.3121.6
Auto16.1
Teleop84.9
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsMissed74%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed29%Face the Boss oddsMissed