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Red181
4467130.8
1787111.6
9985108.9
Blue326
4269103.0
4027162.1
5811137.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25536106008001,0001,200181326

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4467
#11
130.80.3
133.1132.8
Auto18.5
Teleop98.8
End12.8
blue by 31.3
162.11.1
161.1162.2
Auto25.4
Teleop122.6
End15.3
Second
1787
#17
111.63.1
129.6126.5
Auto19.1
Teleop78.6
End9.8
blue by 25.6
137.30.3
140.0139.6
Auto15.0
Teleop105.7
End14.1
Third
9985
#12
108.92.1
109.1111.1
Auto15.3
Teleop82.5
End8.5
red by 5.9
4269
#15
103.01.1
98.599.7
Auto12.8
Teleop81.5
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsEarned41%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed