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Red310
291193.0
2656108.0
4780122.1
Blue316
7165128.4
4121133.7
2010113.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35925106008001,0001,2001,4001,600310316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
291
#3
193.00.6
190.4189.8
Auto22.1
Teleop152.7
End15.7
red by 59.3
133.70.3
132.8133.1
Auto16.9
Teleop96.9
End16.6
Second
122.11.7
114.6116.4
Auto18.4
Teleop83.8
End19.5
blue by 6.3
128.40.5
132.0131.5
Auto16.5
Teleop97.5
End17.4
Third
2656
#18
108.01.7
121.6119.9
Auto16.1
Teleop84.9
End7.2
blue by 5.1
113.10.0
114.4114.4
Auto17.7
Teleop84.8
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned62%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed