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Qual 102018 Monterrey Regional
Red347
3526152.6
3478195.7
4746114.3
Blue93
6507110.9
6106137.7
3472119.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions307269010020040050060034793

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3478
#1
195.79.8
134.6→144.4
Auto26.0
Teleop140.8
End32.5
red by 58.0
6106
#5
137.710.9
101.3→112.2
Auto14.7
Teleop104.9
End22.0
Second
3526
#3
152.611.7
92.7→104.4
Auto18.7
Teleop115.4
End18.1
red by 33.6
3472
#8
119.09.2
99.3→108.6
Auto15.4
Teleop95.3
End8.3
Third
4746
#29
114.37.3
86.3→93.5
Auto14.0
Teleop90.0
End12.5
red by 3.4
6507
#26
110.98.4
87.1→95.5
Auto13.7
Teleop87.8
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed