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Qual 112018 Monterrey Regional
Red176
3522130.9
6652106.3
682095.3
Blue117
5716126.7
4010127.3
7102109.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254262100150200300350400450176117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3522
#6
130.99.2
101.8→111.0
Auto12.9
Teleop102.9
End17.4
red by 3.6
4010
#19
127.36.9
106.7→113.5
Auto15.3
Teleop98.8
End13.4
Second
6652
#25
106.34.7
100.0→104.6
Auto14.9
Teleop82.3
End13.5
blue by 20.4
5716
#22
126.77.1
103.0→110.0
Auto16.4
Teleop97.2
End14.7
Third
6820
#20
95.33.6
92.8→96.4
Auto12.8
Teleop80.4
End3.1
blue by 14.1
7102
#30
109.48.3
85.3→93.6
Auto12.5
Teleop83.6
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed