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Qual 292018 Monterrey Regional
Red259
3794108.1
3158116.6
4584123.8
Blue144
5716126.7
6652106.3
698392.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2432310100200300400500600259144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4584
#12
123.80.2
120.3→120.5
Auto15.0
Teleop100.2
End10.1
blue by 2.9
5716
#22
126.72.8
119.1→121.9
Auto16.4
Teleop97.2
End14.7
Second
3158
#40
116.61.5
119.6→118.1
Auto16.1
Teleop91.3
End9.9
red by 10.3
6652
#25
106.32.3
107.3→109.6
Auto14.9
Teleop82.3
End13.5
Third
3794
#24
108.10.6
109.2→108.6
Auto11.2
Teleop90.0
End6.6
red by 15.5
6983
#37
92.61.4
98.8→97.4
Auto16.8
Teleop76.7
End-1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed