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Qual 302018 Monterrey Regional
Red299
6647133.7
6218100.6
5887110.9
Blue155
631996.2
6106137.7
6483123.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2343340100200300400500600299155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6647
#21
133.70.5
131.8→131.3
Auto15.8
Teleop104.7
End13.2
blue by 4.1
6106
#5
137.73.4
130.5→133.9
Auto14.7
Teleop104.9
End22.0
Second
5887
#38
110.90.8
113.3→112.5
Auto12.0
Teleop86.1
End13.1
blue by 12.2
6483
#14
123.14.7
115.1→119.8
Auto13.4
Teleop97.0
End12.2
Third
6218
#41
100.60.7
103.1→102.4
Auto13.8
Teleop80.0
End3.3
red by 4.4
6319
#46
96.20.6
98.3→98.9
Auto12.3
Teleop73.0
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsMissed6%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed