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Qual 362018 Monterrey Regional
Red322
4635134.7
5696112.0
3522130.9
Blue196
698392.6
6694117.3
4731119.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2872420100200400500600700322196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#15
134.715.5
78.8→94.3
Auto21.8
Teleop103.8
End7.0
red by 15.3
4731
#11
119.317.9
57.9→75.8
Auto16.9
Teleop91.5
End12.9
Second
3522
#6
130.917.1
64.5→81.6
Auto12.9
Teleop102.9
End17.4
red by 13.5
6694
#18
117.317.8
58.4→76.2
Auto13.6
Teleop92.0
End15.2
Third
5696
#13
112.016.9
66.1→83.1
Auto14.9
Teleop90.5
End7.8
red by 19.4
6983
#37
92.614.9
92.6→77.7
Auto16.8
Teleop76.7
End-1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned25%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed