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Qual 372018 Monterrey Regional
Red168
3510102.5
6407102.5
6170109.3
Blue147
4775141.4
696595.4
3794108.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions250260100150200300350400450168147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6170
#31
109.316.6
68.9→85.6
Auto12.5
Teleop86.9
End13.8
blue by 32.2
4775
#10
141.417.8
58.4→76.3
Auto15.2
Teleop107.3
End22.3
Second
6407
#43
102.519.1
47.6→66.6
Auto10.7
Teleop81.9
End10.8
blue by 5.6
3794
#24
108.16.4
90.2→96.6
Auto11.2
Teleop90.0
End6.6
Third
3510
#16
102.517.9
57.3→75.3
Auto12.0
Teleop83.3
End10.5
red by 7.1
6965
#45
95.417.6
95.4→77.7
Auto10.8
Teleop77.9
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed