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Qual 382018 Monterrey Regional
Red163
5874101.3
6348113.4
5887110.9
Blue373
4782114.3
6647133.7
3478195.7
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2463130100200400500600700800163373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6348
#9
113.416.1
73.9→89.9
Auto14.8
Teleop92.3
End8.5
blue by 82.3
3478
#1
195.713.2
100.7→113.8
Auto26.0
Teleop140.8
End32.5
Second
5887
#38
110.917.1
64.8→81.9
Auto12.0
Teleop86.1
End13.1
blue by 22.8
6647
#21
133.714.2
90.9→105.1
Auto15.8
Teleop104.7
End13.2
Third
5874
#36
101.317.4
62.2→79.6
Auto11.1
Teleop89.2
End3.4
blue by 13.0
4782
#23
114.317.7
59.2→76.9
Auto10.8
Teleop94.1
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed