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Qual 392018 Monterrey Regional
Red224
6483123.1
615694.2
6017100.2
Blue187
5932103.9
6200128.4
3158116.6
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2242850100400500600700224187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6483
#14
123.111.6
78.4→90.0
Auto13.4
Teleop97.0
End12.2
blue by 5.3
6200
#39
128.416.3
71.9→88.2
Auto15.7
Teleop102.3
End13.3
Second
6017
#33
100.210.9
82.5→93.4
Auto11.8
Teleop77.8
End8.1
blue by 16.4
3158
#40
116.614.3
89.9→104.2
Auto16.1
Teleop91.3
End9.9
Third
6156
#32
94.28.1
71.7→79.8
Auto9.1
Teleop77.5
End11.3
blue by 9.7
5932
#28
103.917.8
58.2→76.0
Auto13.6
Teleop78.3
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed