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Red129
352791.6
3933134.7
4401114.1
Blue385
4775141.4
3522130.9
6106137.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29025102004006008001,000129385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
134.715.7
77.793.3
Auto17.2
Teleop106.3
End12.0
blue by 6.7
4775
#10
141.411.1
76.387.4
Auto15.2
Teleop107.3
End22.3
Second
4401
#17
114.115.2
81.696.8
Auto16.8
Teleop96.5
End3.8
blue by 23.7
137.710.4
90.9101.3
Auto14.7
Teleop104.9
End22.0
Third
3527
#42
91.613.4
82.295.6
Auto12.8
Teleop74.5
End5.5
blue by 39.3
130.97.8
94.0101.8
Auto12.9
Teleop102.9
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed