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Qual 432018 Monterrey Regional
Red233
6407102.5
5887110.9
601099.8
Blue319
6652106.3
6348113.4
4746114.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2322690100200300400500600233319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5887
#38
110.99.7
81.9→91.7
Auto12.0
Teleop86.1
End13.1
blue by 3.4
4746
#29
114.310.8
75.5→86.3
Auto14.0
Teleop90.0
End12.5
Second
6407
#43
102.59.1
79.0→88.1
Auto10.7
Teleop81.9
End10.8
blue by 10.9
6348
#9
113.45.1
99.0→104.1
Auto14.8
Teleop92.3
End8.5
Third
6010
#34
99.818.7
50.7→69.4
Auto11.6
Teleop81.0
End8.4
blue by 6.5
6652
#25
106.36.9
93.1→100.0
Auto14.9
Teleop82.3
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed