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Qual 442018 Monterrey Regional
Red339
3472119.0
6647133.7
4635134.7
Blue209
6017100.2
6170109.3
4584123.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2792500200400600800339209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#15
134.76.6
105.6→112.2
Auto21.8
Teleop103.8
End7.0
red by 10.8
4584
#12
123.811.8
91.9→103.7
Auto15.0
Teleop100.2
End10.1
Second
6647
#21
133.75.0
117.1→122.1
Auto15.8
Teleop104.7
End13.2
red by 24.4
6170
#31
109.35.4
96.3→101.7
Auto12.5
Teleop86.9
End13.8
Third
3472
#8
119.010.8
88.5→99.3
Auto15.4
Teleop95.3
End8.3
red by 18.8
6017
#33
100.28.8
93.4→102.2
Auto11.8
Teleop77.8
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed