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Red42
5932103.9
698392.6
6218100.6
Blue230
3510102.5
682095.3
5948141.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions240288010020040050060070042230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5932
#28
103.96.3
87.293.5
Auto13.6
Teleop78.3
End14.5
blue by 37.6
141.513.2
91.5104.7
Auto17.0
Teleop104.7
End23.7
Second
6218
#41
100.613.0
77.090.0
Auto13.8
Teleop80.0
End3.3
blue by 1.9
3510
#16
102.59.0
86.995.9
Auto12.0
Teleop83.3
End10.5
Third
6983
#37
92.610.5
77.788.3
Auto16.8
Teleop76.7
End-1.5
blue by 2.6
6820
#20
95.36.9
85.992.8
Auto12.8
Teleop80.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed